May WASDE 2025

May 12, 2025


5-12-25
May WASDE 2025
 
Corn
Old crop carry-in came in at 1.415 bil bu, lower than the average trade guess by 28 mil bu.  New crop carryout for the 25/26 MY was pegged at 1.8 bil bu.  Brazilian corn production raised 4 mmt, no changes to Argentine production.  
Soybeans
24/25 MY carryout pegged at 350 mln bu, lower than the April WASDE by 25 mil bu.  25/26 MY carryout came in at 295 mil bu.  No changes to South American production.
Wheat
24/25 MY All wheat carryout down slightly to 841 mil bu.  The 25/26 MY All wheat carryout came in at 923 mil bu, larger than the average trade guess by 60 mil bu.  World wheat carryout for the 25/26 MY up 4.5 mmt as well. 
Bottom Line
The wheat balance sheet looks ugly both here and abroad.  We need demand to show up in a big way.  The carryout projections for the 25/26 Marketing Year on corn and soybeans both tighter than expected.  Adverse weather could lead to some exciting price action in the coming months.   
 

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